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Red136
138842.4
364723.4
440048.6
Blue203
325561.9
959931.2
441458.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11416450100150200250136203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +50
14Coral scored#27
50Coral points96
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
92Total teleop142
Reef
9L4#14
3L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
136Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.6
47.247.7
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
blue by 13.3
61.91.4
60.161.4
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
42.40.6
41.041.5
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
blue by 16.4
58.81.4
56.958.3
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
Third
3647
#41
23.40.6
22.022.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
blue by 7.8
9599
#35
31.21.4
29.430.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9