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Red150
138842.4
364723.4
440048.6
Blue199
325561.9
959931.2
441458.8
8%Model gave it92%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11516850100150200250150199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+19
Endgame+27
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points63
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
12Processor points24
20Net points20
32Algae points44
102Total teleop107
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#8
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +49
2Foul points24
150Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.8
47.748.6
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
blue by 13.3
61.90.5
61.461.9
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
42.40.8
41.542.4
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
blue by 16.4
58.80.5
58.358.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
Third
3647
#41
23.40.8
22.623.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
blue by 7.8
9599
#35
31.20.5
30.731.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9