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Red145
254331.3
138842.4
61037.5
Blue140
325561.9
39933.1
237525.2
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9686204060120140160145140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
28Coral scored#19
99Coral points69
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
125Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#9
10L3#6
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
145Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.44.6
28.633.1
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
blue by 19.5
61.94.9
30.435.3
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
610
#15
37.54.6
31.836.4
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
red by 4.4
399
#31
33.14.9
27.232.1
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
Third
31.34.6
22.627.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
red by 6.1
2375
#27
25.24.9
18.423.2
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned