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Red56
145214.5
945237.3
70229.8
Blue77
953412.8
386337.7
440048.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868040601001205677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
38Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
56Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#17
37.32.7
31.428.7
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
blue by 11.2
48.60.7
32.433.1
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
Second
702
#40
29.82.7
21.718.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
blue by 7.9
37.70.7
21.021.7
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
Third
1452
#37
14.52.7
21.518.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
red by 1.8
9534
#44
12.80.7
17.418.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed