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Red35
375930.7
1014718.6
210222.2
Blue63
688516.9
581736.9
49844.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74920501503563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
22Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
35Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#12
30.74.4
18.914.6
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
blue by 13.2
498
#10
44.02.7
32.229.5
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
Second
2102
#28
22.24.4
29.324.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 14.7
5817
#13
36.92.7
29.727.0
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
Third
18.68.2
21.713.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
red by 1.7
6885
#21
16.92.7
16.914.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed