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Red116
138842.4
1012032.7
420139.2
Blue62
364723.4
210222.2
551519.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11383406010014016018011662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+38Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points35
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
18Processor points12
16Net points4
34Algae points16
78Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
16Foul points0
116Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.5
41.442.0
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
red by 19.0
3647
#41
23.41.4
32.931.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
Second
4201
#11
39.20.5
34.535.0
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
red by 17.0
2102
#28
22.21.4
26.124.6
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
32.70.5
19.319.8
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
red by 12.9
5515
#20
19.81.4
15.914.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed