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Red105
98816.1
656033.4
258440.1
Blue73
145214.5
11422.0
49844.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71902040608010012010573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
59Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
36Foul points0
105Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.7
30.631.3
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
blue by 3.9
498
#10
44.00.6
29.929.4
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
Second
6560
#22
33.40.7
25.826.5
Auto3.8
Teleop28.3
End1.3
red by 11.3
114
#36
22.00.6
31.330.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Third
988
#26
16.10.7
6.37.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.1
red by 1.6
1452
#37
14.50.6
17.016.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned