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Red68
688516.9
889121.6
39933.1
Blue117
248535.6
945237.3
388119.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8080405060709010011012068117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +35
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
57Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
68Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#31
33.12.1
32.830.6
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
blue by 4.3
9452
#17
37.33.3
24.427.7
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
Second
8891
#25
21.62.1
20.818.7
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
blue by 14.0
2485
#14
35.63.3
26.830.1
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Third
6885
#21
16.92.1
15.513.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 2.6
3881
#39
19.53.3
20.223.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned