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Red117
801529.8
1014718.6
254331.3
Blue89
953412.8
359838.3
502520.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735920408010012011789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
74Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points12
117Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.33.8
30.534.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
blue by 7.0
38.32.8
27.830.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
Second
8015
#23
29.83.8
22.025.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 9.0
5025
#34
20.82.8
12.615.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Third
18.63.8
9.113.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
red by 5.8
9534
#44
12.82.8
11.414.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned