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Red69
375930.7
115910.0
325561.9
Blue56
977214.0
876816.6
513727.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78672040601001206956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+25Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
6Coral scored#7
20Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
34Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points12
69Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.2
40.440.6
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 34.5
5137
#16
27.41.9
23.922.0
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Second
3759
#12
30.70.2
14.614.8
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
red by 14.1
8768
#29
16.61.9
23.321.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Third
1159
#32
10.00.2
12.112.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 4.0
9772
#45
14.01.9
13.511.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned