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Red78
676634.0
237525.2
665724.9
Blue129
421.4
70229.8
440048.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8496406012014016078129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+39
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +28
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points69
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
69Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#11
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points6
78Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6766
#30
34.01.9
22.720.8
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End0.6
blue by 14.5
48.62.2
38.240.5
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
Second
2375
#27
25.21.9
22.320.4
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
blue by 4.6
702
#40
29.82.2
17.619.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Third
24.91.9
27.025.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1
red by 3.5
4
#33
21.42.2
26.028.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed