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Red139
441458.8
959931.2
283919.4
Blue116
581736.9
265815.0
811931.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9978204060120140160139116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
83Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
26Foul points30
139Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.81.8
42.344.1
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
red by 22.0
5817
#13
36.90.4
30.731.0
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
Second
9599
#35
31.21.8
21.823.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 0.1
8119
#24
31.30.4
17.617.9
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
Third
2839
#42
19.41.8
16.318.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End0.6
red by 4.4
2658
#46
15.00.4
17.317.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned