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Red91
11422.0
420139.2
386337.7
Blue56
688516.9
99115.6
1012032.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055802040801201401609156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
12Processor points0
20Net points12
32Algae points12
72Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
91Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
39.20.1
34.634.5
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
red by 6.5
32.70.9
20.119.3
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Second
37.70.1
22.722.6
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
red by 20.7
6885
#21
16.90.9
16.315.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
114
#36
22.00.1
31.431.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 6.4
991
#43
15.60.9
18.617.8
Auto1.8
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed