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Red50
388119.5
889121.6
953412.8
Blue119
39933.1
49844.0
258440.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910905010015050119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+51
Endgame+57
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#17
22Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
36Total teleop77
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points12
50Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#25
21.61.4
22.220.8
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
blue by 22.4
498
#10
44.01.4
28.529.9
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
Second
3881
#39
19.51.4
21.620.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 20.5
40.11.4
29.230.6
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
Third
9534
#44
12.81.4
12.811.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 20.3
399
#31
33.11.4
31.332.8
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned