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Red68
811931.3
513727.4
953412.8
Blue75
115910.0
676634.0
359838.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637820401001206875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
45Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
12Foul points4
68Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8119
#24
31.30.5
17.917.5
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
blue by 7.0
38.30.8
30.631.4
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
Second
5137
#16
27.40.5
22.021.6
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
blue by 6.7
6766
#30
34.00.8
20.821.6
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End0.6
Third
9534
#44
12.80.5
14.213.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
red by 2.7
1159
#32
10.00.8
12.313.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed