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Red91
145214.5
325561.9
1014718.6
Blue119
420139.2
551519.8
248535.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7690020406010012014016091119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
66Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
91Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.92.3
40.642.9
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 22.8
4201
#11
39.24.4
35.039.4
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
Second
18.62.3
13.015.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 17.0
2485
#14
35.64.4
30.134.5
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Third
1452
#37
14.52.3
16.418.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
blue by 5.3
5515
#20
19.84.4
14.518.8
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed