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Red107
258440.1
210222.2
945237.3
Blue53
665817.4
254331.3
99115.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987520406012014016010753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+60Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points19
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
24Processor points6
16Net points0
40Algae points6
81Total teleop25
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
107Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.3
31.332.6
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
red by 8.7
31.32.3
34.332.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Second
9452
#17
37.31.3
27.729.0
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
red by 19.9
6658
#19
17.42.3
16.514.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
2102
#28
22.21.3
24.625.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 6.6
991
#43
15.62.3
17.315.0
Auto1.8
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned