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Red76
49844.0
98816.1
364723.4
Blue87
876816.6
61037.5
1012032.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76864060801001207687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +30
9Coral scored#16
34Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
44Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
76Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#10
44.00.9
29.430.3
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
red by 6.5
610
#15
37.51.2
34.836.0
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
Second
3647
#41
23.40.9
31.532.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
blue by 9.3
32.71.2
19.821.0
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Third
988
#26
16.10.9
7.07.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.1
blue by 0.5
8768
#29
16.61.2
21.522.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed