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Red123
386337.7
581736.9
39933.1
Blue113
11422.0
138842.4
265815.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100108406080120140160180123113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
23Coral scored#19
84Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
100Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#4
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points2
123Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.72.1
22.124.2
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
blue by 4.7
42.40.2
42.042.2
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Second
5817
#13
36.92.1
31.033.1
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
red by 14.8
114
#36
22.00.2
30.730.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Third
399
#31
33.12.1
30.632.7
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
red by 18.1
2658
#46
15.00.2
17.617.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed