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Red60
959931.2
656033.4
953412.8
Blue103
440048.6
388119.5
513727.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410120408012014016060103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+47
Endgame+49
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
40Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
6Foul points0
60Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#22
33.41.0
25.824.8
Auto3.8
Teleop28.3
End1.3
blue by 15.2
48.62.0
40.542.5
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
Second
9599
#35
31.21.0
23.622.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 3.9
5137
#16
27.42.0
21.623.6
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Third
9534
#44
12.81.0
13.712.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 6.8
3881
#39
19.52.0
22.924.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed