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Red148
441458.8
325561.9
688516.9
Blue60
145214.5
115910.0
237525.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12553010015020014860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+74Teleop
+94Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
19Coral scored#9
70Coral points33
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
94Total teleop41
Reef
13L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#12
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points6
148Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.94.0
42.946.9
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 36.8
2375
#27
25.20.9
21.720.8
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Second
58.84.0
48.352.3
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
red by 44.3
1452
#37
14.50.9
18.817.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Third
6885
#21
16.94.0
12.416.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 6.9
1159
#32
10.00.9
13.112.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned