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Red98
39933.1
665724.9
945237.3
Blue61
265815.0
420139.2
876816.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079360801001201409861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+49Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +56
19Coral scored#6
70Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
88Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
98Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#17
37.30.4
29.028.6
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
blue by 1.8
4201
#11
39.23.4
39.436.0
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
Second
399
#31
33.10.4
32.732.3
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
red by 16.4
8768
#29
16.63.4
22.719.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Third
24.90.4
26.325.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1
red by 9.9
2658
#46
15.03.4
17.914.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned