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Red131
359838.3
375930.7
49844.0
Blue72
138842.4
665817.4
889121.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8893608010012014013172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +54
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points32
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
96Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
131Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#10
44.05.9
30.336.2
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
red by 1.6
42.40.8
42.241.4
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Second
38.35.9
31.437.3
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
red by 16.7
8891
#25
21.60.8
22.922.1
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Third
3759
#12
30.75.9
16.122.0
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
red by 13.3
6658
#19
17.40.8
14.213.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned