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Red87
248535.6
364723.4
441458.8
Blue54
237525.2
258440.1
551519.8
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14282501002008754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
53Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
87Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.83.5
52.348.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
red by 18.7
40.12.3
35.433.1
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
Second
2485
#14
35.63.5
36.933.4
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
red by 10.4
2375
#27
25.22.3
20.818.5
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Third
3647
#41
23.43.5
29.125.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
red by 3.6
5515
#20
19.82.3
18.115.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed