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Red83
99115.6
70229.8
953412.8
Blue94
977214.0
1012032.7
581736.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4577020601001201408394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+21
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#18
40Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#8
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
83Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#40
29.82.5
21.323.8
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
blue by 7.1
5817
#13
36.92.0
31.333.4
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
Second
991
#43
15.62.5
11.714.2
Auto1.8
Teleop12.5
End1.3
blue by 17.1
32.72.0
26.228.2
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Third
9534
#44
12.82.5
12.715.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 1.3
9772
#45
14.02.0
10.512.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed