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Red52
811931.3
1014718.6
11422.0
Blue65
61037.5
388119.5
210222.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771002040601201401605265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
35Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
0Cage & park8
0Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points4
52Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8119
#24
31.32.0
20.218.2
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
blue by 6.2
610
#15
37.52.7
32.730.0
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
Second
114
#36
22.02.0
30.528.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
blue by 0.1
2102
#28
22.22.7
25.522.7
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
18.62.0
14.612.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 0.9
3881
#39
19.52.7
24.922.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed