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Red121
665724.9
325561.9
98816.1
Blue73
502520.8
801529.8
945237.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988740608012014016012173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
91Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#4
9L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
121Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.93.9
46.950.8
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 24.6
9452
#17
37.30.8
28.627.8
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
Second
24.93.9
25.929.8
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1
blue by 4.9
8015
#23
29.80.8
29.228.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Third
988
#26
16.13.9
13.117.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.1
blue by 4.7
5025
#34
20.80.8
22.021.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed