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Red108
375930.7
665817.4
440048.6
Blue74
254331.3
959931.2
265815.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938305015020010874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
81Total teleop53
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
108Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.62.0
46.448.5
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
red by 17.3
31.31.4
30.328.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Second
3759
#12
30.72.0
22.024.0
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
blue by 0.5
9599
#35
31.21.4
26.525.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Third
6658
#19
17.42.0
13.415.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 2.4
2658
#46
15.01.4
14.413.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed