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Red73
665724.9
421.4
876816.6
Blue96
359838.3
441458.8
258440.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841122040601001201401601807396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +14
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
59Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
73Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.92.5
25.623.1
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1
blue by 34.0
58.82.6
44.441.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
Second
4
#33
21.42.5
25.322.7
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
blue by 18.7
40.12.6
28.525.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
Third
8768
#29
16.62.5
25.122.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 21.7
38.32.6
22.820.2
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned