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Red54
99115.6
98816.1
801529.8
Blue74
959931.2
811931.3
889121.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62742040801001205474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
42Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points12
54Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8015
#23
29.81.0
17.816.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
blue by 1.5
8119
#24
31.31.2
21.019.8
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
Second
988
#26
16.11.0
16.315.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.1
blue by 15.1
9599
#35
31.21.2
22.721.5
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Third
991
#43
15.61.0
21.220.2
Auto1.8
Teleop12.5
End1.3
blue by 6.0
8891
#25
21.61.2
20.118.9
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed