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Red42
1012032.7
551519.8
265815.0
Blue177
115910.0
502520.8
665817.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7062408010012014016042177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
Fouls+135
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
3Coral scored#2
12Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
22Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +135
0Foul points156
42Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.725.9
41.615.7
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
red by 11.9
5025
#34
20.83.8
19.015.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Second
5515
#20
19.82.1
17.815.7
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 2.4
6658
#19
17.43.8
18.514.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
2658
#46
15.02.1
25.023.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 5.0
1159
#32
10.03.8
17.914.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned