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Red99
388119.5
676634.0
581736.9
Blue120
364723.4
420139.2
254331.3
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7511305010015099120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
59Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
12Foul points14
99Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#13
36.91.0
27.028.0
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
blue by 2.3
4201
#11
39.20.1
31.831.9
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
Second
6766
#30
34.01.0
17.818.8
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End0.6
red by 2.7
31.30.1
27.127.2
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Third
3881
#39
19.51.0
22.223.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 3.9
3647
#41
23.40.1
34.935.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned