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Red106
11422.0
61037.5
70229.8
Blue54
945237.3
283919.4
375930.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10766020408012014016010654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
55Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
38Foul points0
106Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#15
37.52.3
36.434.0
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
red by 0.1
9452
#17
37.30.6
28.728.0
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
Second
702
#40
29.82.3
18.916.6
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
blue by 0.9
3759
#12
30.70.6
14.613.9
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Third
114
#36
22.02.3
33.731.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 2.6
2839
#42
19.40.6
16.615.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed