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Red117
237525.2
441458.8
1014718.6
Blue78
39933.1
210222.2
656033.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929705015020025011778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+9
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
42Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
50Foul points2
117Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.81.3
41.840.5
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
red by 25.4
6560
#22
33.40.7
25.424.7
Auto3.8
Teleop28.3
End1.3
Second
2375
#27
25.21.3
23.222.0
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
blue by 7.9
399
#31
33.10.7
32.131.3
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
Third
18.61.3
13.412.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 3.6
2102
#28
22.20.7
24.924.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed