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Red98
49844.0
801529.8
876816.6
Blue32
977214.0
145214.5
959931.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8460020401001201409832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
23Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
38Foul points0
98Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#10
44.01.0
29.528.5
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
red by 12.7
9599
#35
31.22.3
21.519.1
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Second
8015
#23
29.81.0
16.815.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 15.2
1452
#37
14.52.3
18.716.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Third
8768
#29
16.61.0
22.621.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
red by 2.6
9772
#45
14.02.3
12.910.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed