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Red43
811931.3
421.4
502520.8
Blue105
665724.9
513727.4
138842.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69932040608010012014016043105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +53
7Coral scored#15
26Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
36Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
43Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8119
#24
31.32.9
19.816.9
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
blue by 11.1
42.42.1
33.135.2
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Second
4
#33
21.42.9
22.719.8
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
blue by 6.0
5137
#16
27.42.1
18.520.7
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Third
5025
#34
20.82.9
15.212.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 4.1
24.92.1
23.125.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed