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Red98
688516.9
248535.6
440048.6
Blue90
1012032.7
665817.4
359838.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8655020401001201401609890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
70Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
98Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.62.2
33.135.3
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
red by 10.3
38.34.4
20.224.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
Second
2485
#14
35.62.2
25.027.2
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
red by 2.9
32.74.4
15.720.1
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Third
6885
#21
16.92.2
14.216.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 0.5
6658
#19
17.44.4
14.619.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned