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Red66
138842.4
39933.1
115910.0
Blue82
656033.4
688516.9
676634.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10567204060801201401606682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
55Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points12
66Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.42.2
41.439.2
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
red by 8.3
6766
#30
34.00.8
21.222.0
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End0.6
Second
399
#31
33.12.2
32.330.1
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
blue by 0.3
6560
#22
33.40.8
24.825.6
Auto3.8
Teleop28.3
End1.3
Third
1159
#32
10.02.2
12.210.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 6.9
6885
#21
16.90.8
16.417.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed