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Red50
876816.6
145214.5
388119.5
Blue75
889121.6
513727.4
1012032.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628320401001201405075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
33Total teleop59
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
50Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#39
19.51.0
22.221.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 13.2
32.70.1
28.228.3
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Second
8768
#29
16.61.0
19.318.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 10.8
5137
#16
27.40.1
23.623.7
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Third
1452
#37
14.51.0
17.916.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
blue by 7.1
8891
#25
21.60.1
22.122.2
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed