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Red115
70229.8
551519.8
375930.7
Blue59
98816.1
210222.2
248535.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6478204010012014016011559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+60Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +56
21Coral scored#7
74Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
92Total teleop36
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#2
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
115Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#12
30.75.3
24.029.3
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
blue by 4.8
2485
#14
35.61.5
33.431.9
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Second
702
#40
29.85.3
23.829.1
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
red by 7.6
2102
#28
22.21.5
22.721.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
5515
#20
19.85.3
15.921.2
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 3.7
988
#26
16.11.5
17.015.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed