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Red86
801529.8
953412.8
61037.5
Blue162
440048.6
420139.2
441458.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731575010020086162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+54
Endgame+64
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +40
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
6Processor points12
12Net points28
18Algae points40
66Total teleop106
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points12
86Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#15
37.51.3
30.031.3
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
blue by 21.3
58.81.0
48.849.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
Second
8015
#23
29.81.3
28.429.7
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
blue by 18.8
48.61.0
48.549.5
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
Third
9534
#44
12.81.3
15.216.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 26.4
4201
#11
39.21.0
37.238.2
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned