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Red101
39933.1
99115.6
359838.3
Blue55
364723.4
421.4
145214.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10083406012014016010155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +50
19Coral scored#8
69Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
89Total teleop39
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
4Foul points0
101Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
39.439.5
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
red by 14.9
3647
#41
23.42.9
25.722.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
Second
399
#31
33.10.2
30.130.3
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
red by 11.7
4
#33
21.42.9
29.826.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Third
991
#43
15.60.2
14.214.4
Auto1.8
Teleop12.5
End1.3
red by 1.1
1452
#37
14.52.9
16.813.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed