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Red102
386337.7
688516.9
138842.4
Blue87
1014718.6
876816.6
959931.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1066005015010287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
79Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
102Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.3
39.239.5
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
red by 11.1
9599
#35
31.22.1
25.227.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Second
37.70.3
31.431.7
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
red by 19.1
18.62.1
12.614.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Third
6885
#21
16.90.3
17.217.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 0.3
8768
#29
16.62.1
18.220.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed