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Red44
283919.4
889121.6
115910.0
Blue72
254331.3
11422.0
665724.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710901001504472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +5
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
34Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
44Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#25
21.61.5
22.220.7
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
blue by 9.7
31.32.2
28.926.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Second
2839
#42
19.41.5
21.019.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End0.6
blue by 5.4
24.92.2
29.827.6
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1
Third
1159
#32
10.01.5
10.08.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 12.0
114
#36
22.02.2
28.426.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned