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Red74
665817.4
237525.2
420139.2
Blue113
513727.4
581736.9
98816.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838260709010011012074113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
63Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#9
5L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points18
74Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
39.20.2
38.238.0
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
red by 2.3
5817
#13
36.91.8
37.038.8
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
Second
2375
#27
25.20.2
22.222.0
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
blue by 2.2
5137
#16
27.41.9
23.725.6
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Third
6658
#19
17.40.2
15.415.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 1.3
988
#26
16.11.8
15.517.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned