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Red144
1012032.7
258440.1
676634.0
Blue159
61037.5
945237.3
811931.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019880120140144159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
12Processor points18
12Net points32
24Algae points50
119Total teleop131
Reef
14L4#10
7L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
144Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.14.3
33.337.6
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
red by 2.6
610
#15
37.55.4
31.336.7
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
Second
6766
#30
34.04.3
26.430.7
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End0.6
blue by 3.3
9452
#17
37.35.4
31.536.9
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
Third
32.74.3
28.332.6
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
red by 1.4
8119
#24
31.35.4
22.628.0
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed