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Red106
665817.4
49844.0
513727.4
Blue104
70229.8
39933.1
801529.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84984060120140160180106104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points45
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
84Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
106Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#10
44.02.5
39.041.6
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
red by 10.9
399
#31
33.11.4
30.331.7
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
Second
5137
#16
27.42.5
25.628.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
blue by 2.4
702
#40
29.81.4
29.130.5
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Third
6658
#19
17.42.5
15.217.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 12.3
8015
#23
29.81.4
29.731.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed