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Red49
959931.2
364723.4
688516.9
Blue68
953412.8
248535.6
665724.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769102040601001201401604968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +6
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
33Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points6
49Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9599
#35
31.22.4
27.224.9
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 4.3
2485
#14
35.61.3
31.930.6
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Second
3647
#41
23.42.4
22.720.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
blue by 1.5
24.91.3
27.626.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1
Third
6885
#21
16.92.4
17.615.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 4.1
9534
#44
12.81.3
16.515.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed