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Red100
440048.6
876816.6
138842.4
Blue90
1014718.6
283919.4
99115.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13249010015020010090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
72Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
100Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.62.6
49.546.9
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
red by 29.2
2839
#42
19.42.3
19.521.8
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End0.6
Second
42.42.6
39.536.8
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
red by 23.8
18.62.3
14.616.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Third
8768
#29
16.62.6
20.317.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
red by 1.0
991
#43
15.62.3
14.416.6
Auto1.8
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed