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Red74
115910.0
551519.8
254331.3
Blue58
421.4
889121.6
11422.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588802040801001201407458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
42Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points12
74Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.1
26.727.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
red by 9.3
114
#36
22.03.2
26.323.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Second
5515
#20
19.81.1
21.222.3
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 1.8
8891
#25
21.63.2
20.717.5
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Third
1159
#32
10.01.1
8.59.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 11.3
4
#33
21.43.2
26.923.7
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned